'Most dangerous' label strikes Camden
again
By Sam Wood
Inquirer Staff Writer
The numbers did not work in Camden's favor.
Just as its officials had feared, New Jersey's poorest city
has been designated America's most dangerous city for a second
year in a row in a statistical survey released today.
According to the Kansas-based publisher Morgan Quitno, Camden
had the highest violent crime, homicide and robbery rates among
all cities with populations of 75,000 or more. It is followed on
the list by Detroit; St. Louis; Flint, Mich.; Richmond Va.; and
Baltimore. Philadelphia ranked 33d.
A spike in homicides and aggravated assaults in 2004
contributed to Camden's No. 1 ranking.
The national homicide rate in 2004 was 5.5 per 100,000. In
Camden, the rate topped out at 60.8 per 100,000 - more than 10
times the national rate. By comparison, Philadelphia's homicide
rate in 2004 was 22.2 per 100,000.
The ranking is controversial, not least of all in Camden,
where it has placed a multimillion-dollar redevelopment effort
in jeopardy and caused enrollment to dip at Rutgers University's
Camden campus.
At least this year, the ranking did not come as a complete
surprise, and Camden officials already have launched a
counteroffensive, arguing that the numbers are old and do not
reflect the city as it is today.
"I think the city is a little bit better prepared this
year," said Derek Ziegler, executive director for
CAMConnect, a nonprofit organization that analyzes data about
Camden. "I've been telling people since the beginning of
the year that this was on its way."
Ziegler ran FBI statistics using Morgan Quitno's methodology
and determined weeks ago that the city would be No. 1.
"I think the numbers are interesting as a conversation
starter," Ziegler said, "but I don't think it's fair
to compare Camden to much bigger cities like Detroit and
Baltimore."
A rally in support of Camden is planned for this morning at
Antioch Baptist Church in South Camden.
Morgan Quitno also released the flip side to the most
dangerous ranking this morning. It named three South Jersey
communities among America's safest cities: Brick Township came
in at No. 5, Dover Township at No. 15, and Hamilton Township at
No. 18. Upper Darby, at 89th, was the top Pennsylvania city on
the safest list. Newton, Mass., is No. 1.
Scott Morgan, the executive editor of Morgan Quitno, said the
company's Web site received more than a million hits the day the
rankings were released last year. After the announcement was
covered by CNN, the BBC and Japanese television, the Web site
was accessed so many times that it caused the server to crash.
Last year's ranking brought some unforeseen benefits to the
city. In the month after the announcement, federal and state law
enforcement officials pledged to devote more resources to
Camden.
They made good on some of their promises. A U.S. Marshal's
task force tracked down and captured more than 225 of Camden's
most violent fugitives. Rewards of $1,000 were offered to
citizens who tipped authorities to dangerous felons. The city
Police Department underwent a major reorganization. Law
enforcement agencies cooperated across the city, county, state
and federal levels.
And the promises have had results. Overall crime in Camden is
down 18 percent to date, Camden County Prosecutor Vincent P.
Sarubbi said.
Publisher Morgan chuckled when apprised of his list's
unintended consequences.
"I find it interesting that it took being No. 1 to do
that," Morgan said, noting Camden has consistently placed
in the top 10 every year during the last decade. "It seems
as though it's OK to be fourth or fifth most dangerous, but when
you become No. 1, things suddenly become quite dramatic."
The method Morgan Quito uses to determine the rankings is
attacked regularly by criminologists and sociologists, who
criticize the company for not placing the data in context.
John Allen Paulos, author of Innumeracy: Mathematical
Illiteracy and Its Consequences and a professor of
mathematics at Temple, labeled the company's methodology
"incomprehensible."
It "calls for a new category of crime: statisticide,"
Paulos said. "I think they should be sentenced to a course
in probability and statistics."
Under its methodology, Morgan Quitno gives equal weight to
six basic crime categories reported by the FBI: homicide, rape,
robbery, aggravated assault, burglary and motor-vehicle theft.
One city activist said that regardless of the publisher's
methods, he was thankful that the ranking had brought resources
to the beleaguered city.
"Being focused on the exact methodology obscures the
fundamental problems going on in Camden," Jeff Brenner
said. "It's a very dangerous city with enormous public
safety problems, and we have a long way to go to make it a safe
place for families, children and businesses to thrive.
"The only way we'll make change in Camden is by bringing
a spotlight to the problem."
ONLINE EXTRA
Read the complete list of most dangerous cities via